Foreclosures Rising
Take a look at the chart.
And we're not at the peak yet!
According to The Economist...
Nationally, people are defaulting on mortgages at a faster pace than at any point in recent decades. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, some 5% of all mortgages are delinquent and the share rises to almost 15% for “subprime” mortgages—those lent to people with shaky credit histories. In the second quarter of 2007, almost 3% of subprime loans entered foreclosure (the process of default and repossession). RealtyTrac, a company that tracks foreclosures, reckons up to 1.5m households will enter the process this year (see chart), double last year's figure. And with some 2.5m adjustable-rate mortgages resetting to higher rates before the end of 2008, everyone knows there is much worse to come.
I think we will not see a recovery in housing till at least 2009. But in housing, everything moves slowly. So this downturn might not be over well after 2010.
Reference
The hummer drops, The Economist
Programmer's Investing Notebook