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	<title>My Investing Notebook &#187; picks</title>
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		<title>Where to be in 2010? Investor picks.</title>
		<link>http://investing.kubasek.com/2010/01/where-to-be-in-2010-investor-picks/</link>
		<comments>http://investing.kubasek.com/2010/01/where-to-be-in-2010-investor-picks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 Jan 2010 12:48:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stanley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[My Stock Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[barrons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[picks]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://investing.kubasek.com/?p=134</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just the type of an article I like in the latest Barron&#8217;s, The Best ETF Bets for 2010 John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors &#8220;A healthy dose of cash and other forms of fixed income may be the best prescription for 2010.&#8221; Mauldin recommends putting money temporarily in short-maturity corporate and municipal bond ETFs like Vanguard [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just the type of an article I like in the latest Barron&#8217;s, <a href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB126300612284422737.html#articleTabs_panel_article%3D1">The Best ETF Bets for 2010</a></p>
<p><strong>John Mauldin, Millennium Wave Advisors</strong><br />
&#8220;A healthy dose of cash and other forms of fixed income may be the best prescription for 2010<b>.&#8221;</p>
<p></b>Mauldin recommends putting money temporarily in short-maturity corporate and municipal bond ETFs like <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BSV'>Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV)</a> and <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=SMB'>Market Vectors Short Municipal (SMB)</a>.</p>
<p>He sees the economy headed for a second recessionary dip later this year, and so recommends rotating into defensive funds &#8212; particularly, high-dividend-payers like <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=XLU'>Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU)</a> or <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=JXI'>iShares S&amp;P Global Utilities Index Fund (JXI)</a>.
<p>Mauldin also likes health-care funds, especially those with biotechnology exposure such as <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=XLV'>Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV)</a>. He is bullish on biotech: One of the purer plays is <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=IBB'>iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Fund (IBB)</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Wait for the real buying opportunity.&#8221;</p>
<p>Longer term, Mauldin recommends gradually shifting portfolio weights from securities of developed countries whose valuations &#8220;are out of whack&#8221; toward higher-growth markets through ETFs like <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=EEM'>iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM)</a> or <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=VWO'>Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO)</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Be patient and wait for markets to come to you,&#8221; he counsels. &#8220;Patience is a position, too.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Stephen Blumenthal, President, CMG Capital Management Group</strong><br />
&#8220;If the recent past was the equivalent of a bungee ride, the year ahead will be more like a roller coaster. The market should continue chugging higher until April or May, when he expects a plunge, perhaps followed by another upturn before year&#8217;s end.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;To cope with that uncertainty, it&#8217;s best to play fixed-income-based ETFs during the first quarter at least.&#8221; favorite vehicle is  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=JNK'>SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF (JNK)</a></p>
<p>Anticipating prolonged weakness in the U.S. dollar, Blumenthal recommends gradual acquisition of Pacific/Asia commodity producers/users represented by ETFs like  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=EPP'>iShares MSCI Pacific ex-Japan Index Fund (EPP)</a>. He finds the  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=EWA'>iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (EWA)</a> particularly attractive as a simultaneous play on commodity-rich Australia, its relatively strong currency, and China. A rebound in China, the world&#8217;s largest commodity consumer, should lift  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=SLX'>Market Vectors Steel (SLX)</a> and  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=KOL'>Market Vectors Coal (KOL)</a> as well as agriculture. CMG recommends  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=MOO'>Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO)</a>,  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=PHO'>PowerShares Water Resources (PHO)</a> and, for exposure to so-called soft commodities like rice and cotton,  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=RJA'>Elements/Rogers International Commodity Agriculture ETN (RJA)</a>.</p>
<p>&#8220;Sell the rallies and trade tactically until we get a correction,&#8221; Blumenthal advises. In other words, take profits when common measures of investor sentiment are bullish, and shop for bargains on market dips.</p>
</p>
<p><strong>Thomas Orecchio,  Modera Wealth Mgmt.</strong></p>
<p>He uses international bond funds like  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BWX'>SPDR Barclays Capital International Treasury Bond ETF (BWX)</a> to balance U.S. dollar-heavy portfolios.</p>
<p>Even though their share prices have run up lately, developing countries have better growth prospects than developed economies, he says. Modera also is rotating into international bond funds like  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=IGOV'>iShares S&amp;P/Citi International Treasury Bond (IGOV)</a> and  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=BWX'>SPDR Barclays Capital International Treasury Bond ETF (BWX)</a> for fixed income, but gradually.</p>
<p>This year, Orecchio expects to see many more new ETFs like the  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=QAI'>IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker (QAI)</a>, which uses hedging techniques to offset risk</p>
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		<title>Bets for a Sagging Dollar</title>
		<link>http://investing.kubasek.com/2010/01/bets-for-a-sagging-dollar/</link>
		<comments>http://investing.kubasek.com/2010/01/bets-for-a-sagging-dollar/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2010 12:53:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Stanley</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[My Stock Picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://investing.kubasek.com/?p=115</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is a very good article on investing in the latest Kiplinger&#8217;s (Feb 2010) &#8220;Make A Buck Off A Sagging Dollar.&#8221; Their view is that the dollar is on the decline, and you better diversify. They have a few suggestions how you can do that. I also think the long term the dollar does not [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a very good article on investing in the latest Kiplinger&#8217;s (Feb 2010) &#8220;Make A Buck Off A Sagging Dollar.&#8221; Their view is that the dollar is on the decline, and you better diversify. They have a few suggestions how you can do that.</p>
<p>I also think the long term the dollar does not look so good. Especially when comparing it to emerging markets.</p>
<p>Read on&#8230;</p>
<p>You can invest in emerging-markets bonds through&nbsp;  <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=PLBDX'>Pimco Emerging Local Bond (PLBDX)</a>. &#8220;Pimco invests in 15 markets, including Poland, South Africa, Mexico, and Thailand.&#8221; It&#8217;s on the expensive side, though, with an annual cost of 1.35%. I try to stay under 1%, but this might be worth the price.</p>
<p>For a lower cost alternative, check <a class='stock-quote' href='http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=CEW'>Wisdom Dreyfus Emerging Fund (CEW)</a>. &#8220;This exchange-traded fund, launched last summer, uses futures contracts to provide exposure to money-market rates of 11 emerging markets currencies, including the Polish zloty, Chinese yuan and Chilean peso.&#8221; Annual fee is 0.55%.</p>
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